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WeatherBlog 16 2022/23 | Finally precipitation in the west

Weather change brings precipitation with high snow line

by Lea Hartl 03/08/2023
The current PowderAlert is a rollercoaster of emotions. Fresh snow: great, finally! Especially in the Western Alps, where hardly anyone can remember such a dry winter. But the snow line bounces back and forth with every front. Will the meagre base in the mid-altitudes be washed away for good? In any case, the fresh snow is good for the glaciers and maybe there will be a ski touring spring in the high mountains after all?

Large-scale weather situation: changeover to the west

For quantities and details on the fickle snow line, please refer to the PowderAlert. The WeatherBlog takes a look at the larger structures that we have to thank for the positive, snowy and negative, warm aspects of the weather situation: After a long period of moderately exciting weather (sunny over widespread high fog, pleasant touring conditions with some quite good snow), we're now getting a properly turbulent westerly including storms, rain, snow and the potential for surprises.

The storm has to do with the very tight westerly flow that has formed over the Atlantic and is blowing away the last remnants of the calm "swamp weather" today. The jet stream is rushing zonally from west to east. There are several smaller waves embedded in it, which cause rapid weather changes when they reach the Alpine region. In contrast to recent weeks, we are no longer dealing with a blocking situation in which disturbances have to travel around a large area of high pressure before they make it to the Alps from unusual directions. The direct slide from the Atlantic to the Alps is free again.

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Air mass boundary determines snowfall limit

In more concrete terms, there is currently a large area of low pressure over Scandinavia. It will move towards the Baltic States during the course of the day (today, Wednesday, 8 March) and push clouds and precipitation towards the Alps. It already snowed a little yesterday in parts of northern Germany and it's still quite wintry there today. There will be a delay in the Alps. It will snow heavily in the west and much less in the east. The all-important air mass boundary is still such that the precipitation will fall mainly in the west at relatively low temperatures and the snow line will be reasonably winter sports-friendly. This is likely to change over the next few days. Although there are still a few optimistic model runs that see colder solutions, realistically we should be prepared for rain up to high altitudes with the next disturbances. If it does stay colder, we can be all the happier!

The expected disturbances will next become relevant towards the weekend after today (Wednesday). The uncertainties regarding precipitation amounts and the snow line are high, but it looks like very wet, windy weather for Friday and Saturday - the further west, the wetter and earlier the disturbance arrives. Comparatively little will arrive on the southern slopes of the Alps, where the weather character will also be more "friendly" overall. From today's perspective, the snow line at the weekend will be considerably lower in the west than in the east. PowderAlert will be in touch again soon for details and more up-to-date information.

Rivers in the atmosphere

MeteoSwiss uses the term "atmospheric river" in view of the precipitation at the weekend. This refers to narrow, but often very long areas in certain atmospheric layers that transport a particularly large amount of moisture. The moisture is transported over long distances like in a "river". Particularly humid air comes from subtropical regions - this is where the atmospheric rivers originate. The position of the jet stream then determines where the journey takes us.

The extreme amounts of snow in California this season also largely originate from atmospheric rivers. People there are now rightly concerned that the combination of rain and snowmelt will lead to flooding as temperatures rise seasonally. In the Alps, flooding during snowmelt is unlikely to be a major issue this year due to the lack of snow.

However, it will certainly be an exciting weather weekend. We hope that the Atmospheric River cools down before it arrives and dumps the subtropical moisture in the right state of aggregation in the Alps!

This article has been automatically translated by DeepL with subsequent editing. If you notice any spelling or grammatical errors or if the translation has lost its meaning, please write an e-mail to the editors.

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